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Michael:
The gut feeling among many people in SEO is that a six-month wait is typical, but sites only seem to come out at that point if they have a good selection of natural links. I find that 20-30 usually suffices in non-competitive categories (the vast majority are NOT competitive).
storyspinner:
I'm not so sure you can say there's a magic way to get out of the "sandbox", especially since Google itself still denies its existance when you ask them. Saying that having a good selection of natural links ... and quoting a number, IMHO is really misleading.
Suggesting that I claim a "magic way to get out of the sandbox" is misleading. Saying that I find 20-30 links usually suffices is both accurate and truthful because THAT IS WHAT I FIND TO BE THE CASE.
I have examined several hundred Web sites over the past year whose operators claimed they were not in the index. Those sites which were in the index had between 10 and 30 inbound links. Most of them had fewer than 20 links, but they were IN THE INDEX.
A lot of people seem to have the mistaken idea that if they get into Google, they should be ranking well for whatever keywords they think they should rank well for. Of course, it doesn't work that way. But just getting into the index is different from not getting into the index.
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The sites I've designed and optimized that have taken anyway from 2 weeks to 6 months to start to rank never had 20-30 links (inbound or outbound) when they got ranked, so I guess that's why I have an issue with this statement....
You didn't actually stop link-building at 10-20, though, did you? So you have no basis for establishing what the threshold may be, based on your own experience.
My personal domain came out of the sandbox with fewer than 10 unique inbound links. Nearly all of them came from other Web sites. I was linking to it on multiple pages on one of my domains, but if I had 40 links altogether by November, I would be surprised. Even today, most of the pages on my other domains do not link to that site. But other sites are starting to.
Now, many of the so-called sandbox sites are commercial sites, and they are targeting keywords that have been optimized by their competitors. Optimization today, unfortunately, includes an extensive reliance upon link-building. Although I often out-perform link popular sites in search results, many people are quick to point out that I probably can produce high-quality links to help boost my new content.
So, assuming all other factors are equal, if the other guy has 100 inbound links and you only have 10 inbound links, mostly from small directories and advertising sites, odds are pretty good you won't outrank him.
SOME people say that their poor performance in Google's results means they are "in the sandbox". I am one of the people who doesn't agree with that assessment, but it is by no means a universally accepted point of view (either way).
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...I've actually had blogs for clients rank within 2-4 weeks in Google and they had under 10 links going out and not a lot coming in at the beginning.
If they were on unique domains, then I would say that supports my point of view. However, if they were part of larger domains (blog-hosting sites), I would discount them.
The sandbox effect is generally applied to domains. I, at least, have not had any problem getting new content I add to existing, currently indexed domains, to rank well. I don't know of anyone else (off the top of my head) who has complained about that kind of problem (except where it turned out to be due to easily correctible on-page factors).
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I really think it more has to do with the bots/algos figuring out its a legitimate site. Is the content relevant, is it fresh, is it updated, ... and now... who is linking to it (is it a legit source as opposed to a link farm)... and that you aren't trying to trick them with shady practices.
Well, shady practices are still working very nicely for some people. Whatever led to the evolution of what we call the sandbox effect, I think the majority of people agree there is more than one factor involved.